Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Oregon

4–3 FBS · Big Ten · this season

Rating

+9.2

Rank

29

Résumé

42

Projected wins

7.0▼ 1.4 vs preseason

CFP odds

1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5Boise StateBOISORE −26.5ORE −24.5W 34–2771ORE · L

Sat, Sep 129/12at Oklahoma StateOKSTORE −31.6ORE −22.5L 31–3948ORE · L

Fri, Sep 189/18Portland StatePortland StateORE −40.0ORE −58.5W 84–098

Sat, Sep 269/26at USCUSCORE PKORE −1.0W 41–2761USC · L

Sat, Oct 1010/10UCLAUCLAORE −7.9ORE −12.0L 15–1747UCLA · W

Sat, Oct 1710/17NebraskaNEBORE −4.4ORE −7.0W 17–1455NEB · W

Sat, Oct 2410/24at IllinoisILLORE −8.2ORE −9.5L 10–2145ILL · W

Sat, Oct 3110/31NorthwesternNUORE −5.8ORE −3.5ORE −3.5Pass

Sat, Nov 711/7at Ohio StateOSUORE +15.4ORE +14.0wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14MichiganMICHORE −5.5ORE −13.5wk 11

Fri, Nov 2011/20at Michigan StateMSUORE −10.9—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28WashingtonWASHORE −10.2ORE −15.5wk 13

Model on ORE games: 3–3 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–2 · as the dog 3–1 · home 1–2, away 2–1 · avg gap to the market +3.1 · closer than the market 3 of 6

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.