Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Michigan

5–3 FBS · Big Ten · this season

Rating

+6.7

Rank

38

Résumé

64

Projected wins

6.6▼ 0.3 vs preseason

CFP odds

<1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5Western MichiganWMUMICH −21.9MICH −27.5W 13–1271WMU · W

Sat, Sep 129/12OklahomaOUMICH +2.2MICH +6.5W 17–1061MICH · W

Sat, Sep 199/19UTEPUTEPMICH −37.1MICH −36.5W 52–1788UTEP · W

Sat, Sep 269/26IowaIOWAMICH −6.6MICH −4.5L 19–2058MICH · L

Sat, Oct 310/3at MinnesotaMINNMICH −9.1MICH −5.5L 14–2049MICH · L

Sat, Oct 1710/17Penn StatePSUMICH −7.9MICH −6.0W 21–1862MICH · L

Sat, Oct 2410/24IndianaIUMICH +6.0MICH +7.0L 6–1353MICH · Push

Sat, Oct 3110/31at RutgersRUTGMICH −17.8MICH −14.0W 28–21—MICH · L

Sat, Nov 711/7Michigan StateMSUMICH −11.6MICH −14.0wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14at OregonOREMICH +5.5MICH +13.5wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21UCLAUCLAMICH +1.2—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28at Ohio StateOSUMICH +21.0MICH +13.5wk 13

Model on MICH games: 3–4–1 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–4 · as the dog 3–0 · home 1–2, away 2–2 · avg gap to the market +2.7 · closer than the market 2 of 8

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.