Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Penn State

3–4 FBS · Big Ten · this season

Rating

+7.7

Rank

34

Résumé

96

Projected wins

6.5▼ 2.6 vs preseason

CFP odds

0%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5MarshallMRSHPSU −20.9PSU −24.5W 45–086MRSH · L

Sat, Sep 129/12at TempleTEMPSU −21.1PSU −23.5W 27–970TEM · W

Sat, Sep 199/19BuffaloBUFPSU −38.1PSU −39.5W 55–1388BUF · L

Sat, Sep 269/26WisconsinWISPSU −16.9PSU −10.5L 20–2443PSU · L

Fri, Oct 210/2at NorthwesternNUPSU −2.9PSU −2.5L 13–3430PSU · L

Sat, Oct 1010/10USCUSCPSU +2.2PSU −1.5L 23–3135USC · W

Sat, Oct 1710/17at MichiganMICHPSU +7.9PSU +6.0L 18–2138MICH · L

Sat, Oct 3110/31PurduePURPSU −11.3PSU −10.0PSU −10.0Pass

Sat, Nov 711/7at WashingtonWASHPSU +2.0—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14MinnesotaMINNPSU −8.4—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21RutgersRUTGPSU −18.0—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28at MarylandMDPSU −7.6—wk 13

Model on PSU games: 2–5 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–3 · as the dog 2–2 · home 1–2, away 1–3 · avg gap to the market +2.6 · closer than the market 2 of 7

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.