Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Virginia

4–4 FBS · ACC · this season

Rating

+2.2

Rank

57

Résumé

92

Projected wins

5.8▼ 1.1 vs preseason

CFP odds

0%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Aug 298/29NC StateNCSUUVA PKUVA −5.5W 34–871NCSU · L

Fri, Sep 119/11Norfolk StateNorfolk StateUVA −42.3UVA −46.5W 59–388

Sat, Sep 199/19West VirginiaWVUUVA −15.7UVA −9.5L 27–3839UVA · L

Sat, Sep 269/26DelawareDELUVA −16.7UVA −22.0W 42–387DEL · L

Sat, Oct 310/3at Florida StateFSUUVA −2.4UVA −2.5L 7–3817FSU · W

Sat, Oct 1010/10SyracuseSYRUVA −11.0UVA −8.5W 28–2547UVA · L

Sat, Oct 1710/17at SMUSMUUVA +6.0UVA +8.5L 13–2337UVA · L

Fri, Oct 2310/23DukeDUKEUVA −1.3UVA −1.5L 16–1953DUKE · W

Sat, Oct 3110/31at Wake ForestWAKEUVA +16.0UVA +13.5WAKE −13.5Pass

Sat, Nov 1411/14CaliforniaCALUVA −13.9—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21North CarolinaUNCUVA PK—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28at Virginia TechVTUVA +5.7—wk 13

Model on UVA games: 2–5 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–2 · as the dog 2–3 · home 1–2, away 1–3 · avg gap to the market +3.1 · closer than the market 2 of 7

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.