Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Duke

6–2 FBS · ACC · this season

Rating

+8.9

Rank

30

Résumé

47

Projected wins

7.2▲ 1.7 vs preseason

CFP odds

1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5TulaneTULNDUKE −3.1DUKE −9.5W 17–359TULN · L

Sat, Sep 129/12at IllinoisILLDUKE +4.7DUKE +6.5W 31–2761DUKE · W

Sat, Sep 199/19StanfordSTANDUKE −11.1DUKE −9.5W 35–776DUKE · W

Sat, Sep 269/26William & MaryWilliam & MaryDUKE −37.2DUKE −43.5W 62–775

Sat, Oct 1010/10at Georgia TechGTDUKE −3.7DUKE −7.0L 25–2852GT · W

Sat, Oct 1710/17North CarolinaUNCDUKE −3.4DUKE −3.5L 20–2452UNC · W

Fri, Oct 2310/23at VirginiaUVADUKE +1.3DUKE +1.5W 19–1648DUKE · W

Sat, Oct 3110/31Boston CollegeBCDUKE −8.9DUKE −7.5W 47–2—DUKE · W

Sat, Nov 711/7at NC StateNCSUDUKE −3.1—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14at MiamiMIADUKE +21.4DUKE +21.0wk 11

Fri, Nov 2011/20ClemsonCLEMDUKE −5.6—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28at Wake ForestWAKEDUKE +12.8—wk 13

Model on DUKE games: 6–1 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 2–0 · as the dog 4–1 · home 3–0, away 3–1 · avg gap to the market +1.9 · closer than the market 5 of 7

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.