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Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTupdated
Board · Rankings · CollegeNext: at ECU · Sat, Oct 31 · 3:00 PM ET →

Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Temple

2–5 FBS · American Athletic · this season
Rating
−8.9
Rank
110
Résumé
122
Projected wins
4.1▼ 0.1 vs preseason
CFP odds
0%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line
DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call
Sat, Sep 59/5Rhode IslandRhode IslandTEM −27.4TEM −14.5W 38–1459
Sat, Sep 129/12Penn StatePSUTEM +21.1TEM +23.5L 9–2731TEM · W
Sat, Sep 199/19at ToledoTOLTEM +11.3TEM +4.0L 48–4942TOL · L
Fri, Sep 259/25ArmyARMYTEM −2.5TEM +3.0L 17–2151TEM · L
Sat, Oct 310/3at South FloridaUSFTEM +7.6TEM +6.5W 17–1356USF · L
Sat, Oct 1010/10UConnCONNTEM −4.1TEM −3.5L 20–3443TEM · L
Sat, Oct 1710/17CharlotteCLTTEM −21.6TEM −21.5L 31–3856TEM · L
Sat, Oct 3110/31at East CarolinaECUTEM +5.6TEM +4.0ECU −4.0Pass
Sat, Nov 711/7at NavyNAVYTEM +7.5—wk 10
Sat, Nov 1411/14UABUABTEM −4.5—wk 11
Thu, Nov 1911/19RiceRICETEM −3.4—wk 12
Fri, Nov 2711/27at MemphisMEMTEM +10.4—wk 13

Model on TEM games: 1–5 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–4 · as the dog 1–1 · home 1–5, away 0–0 · avg gap to the market +3.7 · closer than the market 1 of 6

Outlook

from 10,000 season simulations
Projected wins
4.12–5 banked, 5 to play · preseason 4.2
Bowl (6+)2%
9+ wins0%
11+ wins0%

The 5 games left add 2.1 expected wins.

Playoff picture
Reach title game<1%
Win conference<1%
Make the CFP0%
First-round bye0%
Win it all0%

Full bracket on the playoffs page.

Offense and defense

7 games · rank of 138 FBS
rank of 138
Offense
EPA per play+0.1732nd
Success rate43.5%64th
Pass EPA+0.0966th
Rush EPA+0.239th
Explosive rate15.3%19th
Quality-drive rate54.4%49th
Points per quality drive3.5105th
Defense
EPA allowed+0.20130th
Success allowed45.5%118th
Pass EPA allowed+0.30131st
Rush EPA allowed+0.11107th
Explosive allowed13.9%112th
Havoc rate9.2%137th

Special teams, luck and schedule

through the latest board
rank of 138
Special teams & luck
Special teams EPA / game−1.8114th
Turnover margin072nd · exp. +1.0
Field position margin−2.7 yd114th
Hidden points / game−2.3gave up
Luck, wins−0.82.8 earned
One-score record1–3flipped 4–3
Rush rate over expected+7.7%12th
Overall
Rating, pts vs average−8.9110th
Schedule played−1.980th
Schedule remaining−5.493rd
Full schedule−3.588th
Pregame expected wins3.3of 7

Ranking by week

ours vs the AP poll
151025Wk 0Wk 3Wk 6Wk 9
Ours 110th · −8.9Week 9
Where they sit · offense vs defensepinch or ⌘/ctrl + scroll to zoom · drag to move · double-tap to reset
−0.200.00+0.20FBS averageTCUNorth CarolinaUNLVMemphisStanfordHawai'iFlorida StateNew Mexico StateEastern MichiganSacramento StateNorth Dakota StateJacksonville StateVirginiaNC StateUSCSan José StateUCFDelawareKennesaw StateBuffaloMinnesotaMissouriUtahRutgersMassachusettsWake ForestAkronGeorgia TechColoradoIllinoisUABKansasGeorgia StatePurdueFresno StateMiamiMichigan StateToledoOklahomaUTEPColorado StateWyomingTroySam HoustonTexas A&MMissouri StateSouth AlabamaGeorgia SouthernSouth FloridaFlorida InternationalRiceUtah StateMiddle TennesseeArkansas StateVanderbiltTexas TechKansas StateVirginia TechMississippi StateUL MonroeLSUClemsonOld DominionLouisiana TechSouthern MissArkansasKentuckyIowa StateAir ForceGeorgiaTennesseeApp StateOregonBoise StateCincinnatiBoston CollegeNavyUTSAPenn StateMarshallTexasTexas StateDukeTulaneTulsaOklahoma StateIowaNorthern IllinoisMichiganWestern MichiganFloridaFlorida AtlanticLouisianaAuburnBaylorNorthwesternBYUMarylandArizonaSan Diego StateNew MexicoCentral MichiganArizona StateSouth CarolinaKent StateNevadaWestern KentuckyCaliforniaUCLACharlotteOhio StateBall StatePittsburghMiami (OH)NebraskaOhioWest VirginiaCoastal CarolinaSyracuseUConnBowling GreenAlabamaEast CarolinaHoustonOregon StateIndianaNorth TexasJames MadisonLibertyArmyWashingtonWashington StateNotre DameWisconsinOle MissLouisvilleSMUTEMgood offense, good defense →Offense EPA/play →better defense →
Templeoff +0.17 32nddef +0.20 allowed · 130th

Every FBS team, through the latest board. EPA is garbage-time filtered. Tap a logo for its numbers.

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.