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Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTupdated
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Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Kent State

3–6 FBS · Mid-American · this season
Rating
−19.0
Rank
133
Résumé
124
Projected wins
4.0▲ 0.7 vs preseason
CFP odds
0%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line
DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call
Sat, Sep 59/5at South CarolinaSCKENT +26.9KENT +36.5L 0–5712KENT · L
Sat, Sep 129/12WoffordWoffordKENT −20.5KENT −10.0W 36–1580
Sat, Sep 199/19at Ohio StateOSUKENT +55.9KENT +52.0L 3–598OSU · W
Sat, Sep 269/26Ball StateBALLKENT −4.7KENT −3.5W 26–1359KENT · W
Sat, Oct 310/3OhioOHIOKENT +10.9KENT +3.0L 10–1353OHIO · Push
Sat, Oct 1010/10at Western MichiganWMUKENT +18.6KENT +13.5L 7–3838WMU · W
Sat, Oct 1710/17at South FloridaUSFKENT +20.3KENT +20.5L 2–2943USF · W
Sat, Oct 2410/24AkronAKRKENT −2.4KENT −3.0W 35–2057KENT · W
Fri, Oct 3010/30at Sacramento StateSACKENT −6.4KENT −10.5L 10–3132SAC · W
Tue, Nov 1011/10at Bowling GreenBGSUKENT +4.4—wk 11
Tue, Nov 1711/17Miami (OH)M-OHKENT +8.0—wk 12
Tue, Nov 2411/24at Eastern MichiganEMUKENT +8.2—wk 13

Model on KENT games: 6–1–1 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 5–0 · as the dog 1–1 · home 6–0, away 0–1 · avg gap to the market +3.0 · closer than the market 4 of 8

Outlook

from 10,000 season simulations
Projected wins
4.03–6 banked, 3 to play · preseason 3.3
Bowl (6+)0%
9+ wins0%
11+ wins0%

The 3 games left add 1.0 expected wins.

Playoff picture
Reach title game0%
Win conference0%
Make the CFP0%
First-round bye0%
Win it all0%

Full bracket on the playoffs page.

Offense and defense

9 games · rank of 138 FBS
rank of 138
Offense
EPA per play−0.08130th
Success rate34.8%136th
Pass EPA−0.08118th
Rush EPA−0.07124th
Explosive rate9.9%126th
Quality-drive rate51.2%70th
Points per quality drive2.1138th
Defense
EPA allowed+0.0158th
Success allowed43.6%98th
Pass EPA allowed+0.0159th
Rush EPA allowed+0.0160th
Explosive allowed11.5%69th
Havoc rate13.6%76th

Special teams, luck and schedule

through the latest board
rank of 138
Special teams & luck
Special teams EPA / game−3.6133rd
Turnover margin−12136th · exp. −4.5
Field position margin−0.4 yd81st
Hidden points / game−5.8gave up
Luck, wins−0.13.1 earned
One-score record0–1flipped 4–5
Rush rate over expected+0.8%46th
Overall
Rating, pts vs average−19.0133rd
Schedule played−3.291st
Schedule remaining−9.7124th
Full schedule−5.0101st
Pregame expected wins2.5of 9

Ranking by week

ours vs the AP poll
151025Wk 0Wk 3Wk 6Wk 9
Ours 133rd · −19.0Week 9
Where they sit · offense vs defensepinch or ⌘/ctrl + scroll to zoom · drag to move · double-tap to reset
−0.200.00+0.20FBS averageTCUNorth CarolinaUNLVMemphisStanfordHawai'iFlorida StateNew Mexico StateEastern MichiganSacramento StateNorth Dakota StateJacksonville StateVirginiaNC StateUSCSan José StateUCFDelawareKennesaw StateBuffaloMinnesotaMissouriUtahRutgersMassachusettsWake ForestAkronGeorgia TechColoradoIllinoisUABKansasGeorgia StatePurdueFresno StateMiamiMichigan StateToledoOklahomaUTEPColorado StateWyomingTroySam HoustonTexas A&MMissouri StateSouth AlabamaGeorgia SouthernSouth FloridaFlorida InternationalRiceUtah StateMiddle TennesseeArkansas StateVanderbiltTexas TechKansas StateVirginia TechMississippi StateUL MonroeLSUClemsonOld DominionLouisiana TechSouthern MissArkansasKentuckyIowa StateAir ForceTempleGeorgiaTennesseeApp StateOregonBoise StateCincinnatiBoston CollegeNavyUTSAPenn StateMarshallTexasTexas StateDukeTulaneTulsaOklahoma StateIowaNorthern IllinoisMichiganWestern MichiganFloridaFlorida AtlanticLouisianaAuburnBaylorNorthwesternBYUMarylandArizonaSan Diego StateNew MexicoCentral MichiganArizona StateSouth CarolinaNevadaWestern KentuckyCaliforniaUCLACharlotteOhio StateBall StatePittsburghMiami (OH)NebraskaOhioWest VirginiaCoastal CarolinaSyracuseUConnBowling GreenAlabamaEast CarolinaHoustonOregon StateIndianaNorth TexasJames MadisonLibertyArmyWashingtonWashington StateNotre DameWisconsinOle MissLouisvilleSMUKENTgood offense, good defense →Offense EPA/play →better defense →
Kent Stateoff −0.08 130thdef +0.01 allowed · 58th

Every FBS team, through the latest board. EPA is garbage-time filtered. Tap a logo for its numbers.

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.