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Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTupdated
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Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Akron

1–7 FBS · Mid-American · this season
Rating
−20.0
Rank
136
Résumé
137
Projected wins
2.1▼ 0.3 vs preseason
CFP odds
0%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line
DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call
Thu, Sep 39/3at Wake ForestWAKEAKR +26.9AKR +24.5L 16–3829WAKE · L
Sat, Sep 129/12Robert MorrisRobert MorrisAKR −33.1AKR −26.5W 45–1077
Sat, Sep 199/19at MinnesotaMINNAKR +19.2AKR +26.5L 7–4142AKR · L
Sat, Sep 269/26UNLVUNLVAKR +13.2AKR +14.0L 10–3825AKR · L
Sat, Oct 310/3at Central MichiganCMUAKR +3.8AKR +6.5L 17–419AKR · L
Sat, Oct 1010/10Eastern MichiganEMUAKR +7.3AKR +6.5L 23–2561EMU · L
Sat, Oct 1710/17at Miami (OH)M-OHAKR +13.5AKR +10.0L 14–3435M-OH · W
Sat, Oct 2410/24at Kent StateKENTAKR +2.4AKR +3.0L 20–3544KENT · W
Tue, Nov 311/3OhioOHIOAKR +16.4AKR +12.5wk 10
Tue, Nov 1011/10Western MichiganWMUAKR +17.7—wk 11
Wed, Nov 1811/18at MassachusettsMASSAKR +6.4—wk 12
Fri, Nov 2711/27BuffaloBUFAKR +3.5—wk 13

Model on AKR games: 2–5 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 2–2 · as the dog 0–3 · home 2–2, away 0–3 · avg gap to the market +2.0 · closer than the market 2 of 7

Outlook

from 10,000 season simulations
Projected wins
2.11–7 banked, 4 to play · preseason 2.4
Bowl (6+)0%
9+ wins0%
11+ wins0%

The 4 games left add 1.1 expected wins.

Playoff picture
Reach title game0%
Win conference0%
Make the CFP0%
First-round bye0%
Win it all0%

Full bracket on the playoffs page.

Offense and defense

8 games · rank of 138 FBS
rank of 138
Offense
EPA per play−0.02116th
Success rate40.9%93rd
Pass EPA−0.10122nd
Rush EPA+0.0864th
Explosive rate14.4%29th
Quality-drive rate41.2%125th
Points per quality drive3.4114th
Defense
EPA allowed+0.15119th
Success allowed44.0%104th
Pass EPA allowed+0.16106th
Rush EPA allowed+0.14114th
Explosive allowed14.6%122nd
Havoc rate10.4%132nd

Special teams, luck and schedule

through the latest board
rank of 138
Special teams & luck
Special teams EPA / game−2.3121st
Turnover margin−7124th · exp. −6.0
Field position margin−4.3 yd125th
Hidden points / game−5.9gave up
Luck, wins−0.31.4 earned
One-score record0–1flipped 2–6
Rush rate over expected−2.0%75th
Overall
Rating, pts vs average−20.0136th
Schedule played−4.9108th
Schedule remaining−6.2102nd
Full schedule−5.4109th
Pregame expected wins1.4of 8

Ranking by week

ours vs the AP poll
151025Wk 0Wk 3Wk 6Wk 9
Ours 136th · −20.0Week 9
Where they sit · offense vs defensepinch or ⌘/ctrl + scroll to zoom · drag to move · double-tap to reset
−0.200.00+0.20FBS averageTCUNorth CarolinaUNLVMemphisStanfordHawai'iFlorida StateNew Mexico StateEastern MichiganSacramento StateNorth Dakota StateJacksonville StateVirginiaNC StateUSCSan José StateUCFDelawareKennesaw StateBuffaloMinnesotaMissouriUtahRutgersMassachusettsWake ForestGeorgia TechColoradoIllinoisUABKansasGeorgia StatePurdueFresno StateMiamiMichigan StateToledoOklahomaUTEPColorado StateWyomingTroySam HoustonTexas A&MMissouri StateSouth AlabamaGeorgia SouthernSouth FloridaFlorida InternationalRiceUtah StateMiddle TennesseeArkansas StateVanderbiltTexas TechKansas StateVirginia TechMississippi StateUL MonroeLSUClemsonOld DominionLouisiana TechSouthern MissArkansasKentuckyIowa StateAir ForceTempleGeorgiaTennesseeApp StateOregonBoise StateCincinnatiBoston CollegeNavyUTSAPenn StateMarshallTexasTexas StateDukeTulaneTulsaOklahoma StateIowaNorthern IllinoisMichiganWestern MichiganFloridaFlorida AtlanticLouisianaAuburnBaylorNorthwesternBYUMarylandArizonaSan Diego StateNew MexicoCentral MichiganArizona StateSouth CarolinaKent StateNevadaWestern KentuckyCaliforniaUCLACharlotteOhio StateBall StatePittsburghMiami (OH)NebraskaOhioWest VirginiaCoastal CarolinaSyracuseUConnBowling GreenAlabamaEast CarolinaHoustonOregon StateIndianaNorth TexasJames MadisonLibertyArmyWashingtonWashington StateNotre DameWisconsinOle MissLouisvilleSMUAKRgood offense, good defense →Offense EPA/play →better defense →
Akronoff −0.02 116thdef +0.15 allowed · 119th

Every FBS team, through the latest board. EPA is garbage-time filtered. Tap a logo for its numbers.

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.