Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

South Florida

6–2 FBS · American Athletic · this season

Rating

+0.4

Rank

65

Résumé

46

Projected wins

7.8▼ 0.8 vs preseason

CFP odds

<1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5Florida InternationalFIUUSF −20.3USF −13.5W 19–953USF · L

Sat, Sep 129/12at ArmyARMYUSF −14.2USF +3.0W 28–2460USF · W

Sat, Sep 199/19Delaware StateDelaware StateUSF −40.6USF −36.5W 59–1764

Sat, Sep 269/26at Bowling GreenBGSUUSF −25.4USF −15.0W 14–657USF · L

Sat, Oct 310/3TempleTEMUSF −7.6USF −6.5L 13–1744USF · L

Thu, Oct 810/8at UTSAUTSAUSF +5.0USF +7.0L 24–3153USF · Push

Sat, Oct 1710/17Kent StateKENTUSF −20.3USF −20.5W 29–257USF · W

Sat, Oct 3110/31UABUABUSF −8.8USF −7.5W 30–10—USF · W

Fri, Nov 611/6at East CarolinaECUUSF +1.4—wk 10

Thu, Nov 1211/12MemphisMEMUSF +2.0—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21at Florida AtlanticFAUUSF −2.6—wk 12

Fri, Nov 2711/27TulaneTULNUSF −7.0—wk 13

Model on USF games: 3–3–1 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 2–3 · as the dog 1–0 · home 2–2, away 1–1 · avg gap to the market +5.7 · closer than the market 1 of 7

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.