Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Arkansas State

4–4 FBS · Sun Belt · this season

Rating

−5.3

Rank

93

Résumé

86

Projected wins

6.6▲ 1.3 vs preseason

CFP odds

0%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5at MemphisMEMARST +12.8ARST +8.5L 24–4238MEM · W

Sat, Sep 129/12West GeorgiaWest GeorgiaARST −33.2ARST −31.5W 52–762

Sat, Sep 199/19at TCUTCUARST +17.0ARST +20.5L 7–3127ARST · L

Sat, Sep 269/26Kennesaw StateKENNARST −9.1ARST −4.5W 17–1462ARST · L

Sat, Oct 310/3at LouisianaULARST +5.4ARST +6.5L 20–2338ARST · W

Thu, Oct 810/8South AlabamaUSAARST −2.4ARST −1.5L 49–5652ARST · L

Sat, Oct 1710/17at Southern MissUSMARST −1.6ARST −7.0W 23–1348USM · L

Sat, Oct 2410/24Georgia StateGASTARST +1.0ARST +2.5W 38–3264ARST · W

Sat, Nov 711/7UL MonroeULMARST −17.6—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14at Coastal CarolinaCCUARST −6.7—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21at Louisiana TechLTARST +6.3—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28TroyTROYARST −8.8—wk 13

Model on ARST games: 3–4 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 1–2 · as the dog 2–2 · home 2–3, away 1–1 · avg gap to the market +1.8 · closer than the market 3 of 7

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.