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Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTupdated
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Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Kennesaw State

2–6 FBS · Conference USA · this season
Rating
−8.9
Rank
111
Résumé
125
Projected wins
3.7▼ 1.6 vs preseason
CFP odds
0%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line
DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call
Thu, Sep 39/3West GeorgiaWest GeorgiaKENN −30.9KENN −21.5W 47–096
Sat, Sep 129/12Georgia StateGASTKENN −7.2KENN −9.5L 17–3141GAST · W
Sat, Sep 199/19at TennesseeTENNKENN +31.7KENN +34.5L 9–4225KENN · W
Sat, Sep 269/26at Arkansas StateARSTKENN +9.1KENN +4.5L 14–1739ARST · L
Wed, Oct 710/7Jacksonville StateJXSTKENN +6.2KENN +3.0L 26–2748JXST · L
Wed, Oct 1410/14at Missouri StateMOSTKENN −1.1KENN −3.0L 21–2452MOST · W
Thu, Oct 2210/22LibertyLIBKENN +15.4KENN +10.5L 6–3424LIB · W
Wed, Oct 2810/28at Middle TennesseeMTSUKENN +3.4KENN +3.0W 44–2873MTSU · L
Sat, Nov 711/7DelawareDELKENN +4.7—wk 10
Sat, Nov 1411/14at Sam HoustonSHSUKENN −1.9—wk 11
Sat, Nov 2111/21Florida InternationalFIUKENN +2.3—wk 12
Sat, Nov 2811/28at Western KentuckyWKUKENN +7.0—wk 13

Model on KENN games: 4–3 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 1–3 · as the dog 3–0 · home 1–2, away 3–1 · avg gap to the market +3.1 · closer than the market 4 of 7

Outlook

from 10,000 season simulations
Projected wins
3.72–6 banked, 4 to play · preseason 5.3
Bowl (6+)0%
9+ wins0%
11+ wins0%

The 4 games left add 1.7 expected wins.

Playoff picture
Reach title game<1%
Win conference0%
Make the CFP0%
First-round bye0%
Win it all0%

Full bracket on the playoffs page.

Offense and defense

8 games · rank of 138 FBS
rank of 138
Offense
EPA per play+0.0679th
Success rate44.0%58th
Pass EPA+0.0483rd
Rush EPA+0.0963rd
Explosive rate11.8%93rd
Quality-drive rate40.2%126th
Points per quality drive4.533rd
Defense
EPA allowed+0.0786th
Success allowed43.9%101st
Pass EPA allowed+0.1089th
Rush EPA allowed+0.0473rd
Explosive allowed12.1%80th
Havoc rate12.0%118th

Special teams, luck and schedule

through the latest board
rank of 138
Special teams & luck
Special teams EPA / game−1.2107th
Turnover margin−294th · exp. −1.5
Field position margin−4.2 yd123rd
Hidden points / game−3.5gave up
Luck, wins−1.33.3 earned
One-score record0–3flipped 5–3
Rush rate over expected−4.4%103rd
Overall
Rating, pts vs average−8.9111th
Schedule played−2.285th
Schedule remaining−11.0129th
Full schedule−5.4108th
Pregame expected wins3.1of 8

Ranking by week

ours vs the AP poll
151025Wk 0Wk 3Wk 6Wk 9
Ours 111th · −8.9Week 9
Where they sit · offense vs defensepinch or ⌘/ctrl + scroll to zoom · drag to move · double-tap to reset
−0.200.00+0.20FBS averageTCUNorth CarolinaUNLVMemphisStanfordHawai'iFlorida StateNew Mexico StateEastern MichiganSacramento StateNorth Dakota StateJacksonville StateVirginiaNC StateUSCSan José StateUCFDelawareBuffaloMinnesotaMissouriUtahRutgersMassachusettsWake ForestAkronGeorgia TechColoradoIllinoisUABKansasGeorgia StatePurdueFresno StateMiamiMichigan StateToledoOklahomaUTEPColorado StateWyomingTroySam HoustonTexas A&MMissouri StateSouth AlabamaGeorgia SouthernSouth FloridaFlorida InternationalRiceUtah StateMiddle TennesseeArkansas StateVanderbiltTexas TechKansas StateVirginia TechMississippi StateUL MonroeLSUClemsonOld DominionLouisiana TechSouthern MissArkansasKentuckyIowa StateAir ForceTempleGeorgiaTennesseeApp StateOregonBoise StateCincinnatiBoston CollegeNavyUTSAPenn StateMarshallTexasTexas StateDukeTulaneTulsaOklahoma StateIowaNorthern IllinoisMichiganWestern MichiganFloridaFlorida AtlanticLouisianaAuburnBaylorNorthwesternBYUMarylandArizonaSan Diego StateNew MexicoCentral MichiganArizona StateSouth CarolinaKent StateNevadaWestern KentuckyCaliforniaUCLACharlotteOhio StateBall StatePittsburghMiami (OH)NebraskaOhioWest VirginiaCoastal CarolinaSyracuseUConnBowling GreenAlabamaEast CarolinaHoustonOregon StateIndianaNorth TexasJames MadisonLibertyArmyWashingtonWashington StateNotre DameWisconsinOle MissLouisvilleSMUKENNgood offense, good defense →Offense EPA/play →better defense →
Kennesaw Stateoff +0.06 79thdef +0.07 allowed · 86th

Every FBS team, through the latest board. EPA is garbage-time filtered. Tap a logo for its numbers.

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.