Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Toledo

6–2 FBS · Mid-American · this season

Rating

−0.9

Rank

72

Résumé

55

Projected wins

9.2▲ 1.2 vs preseason

CFP odds

0%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Fri, Sep 49/4at Michigan StateMSUTOL +0.7TOL +10.0L 20–3050TOL · Push

Sat, Sep 129/12Central ConnecticutCentral ConnecticutTOL −37.8TOL −36.0W 63–1086

Sat, Sep 199/19TempleTEMTOL −11.3TOL −4.0W 49–4858TOL · L

Sat, Sep 269/26San Diego StateSDSUTOL −6.3TOL +2.5W 41–1667TOL · W

Sat, Oct 310/3at Ball StateBALLTOL −23.0TOL −19.5W 39–2454TOL · L

Sat, Oct 1010/10BuffaloBUFTOL −23.4TOL −19.5L 8–2361TOL · L

Sat, Oct 1710/17at Eastern MichiganEMUTOL −8.2TOL −5.5W 34–1477TOL · W

Sat, Oct 2410/24Western MichiganWMUTOL −2.2TOL −3.5W 45–3857WMU · L

Wed, Nov 411/4at Sacramento StateSACTOL −23.5—wk 10

Wed, Nov 1111/11MassachusettsMASSTOL −19.2—wk 11

Fri, Nov 2011/20Bowling GreenBGSUTOL −19.4—wk 12

Fri, Nov 2711/27at OhioOHIOTOL PK—wk 13

Model on TOL games: 2–4–1 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 1–3 · as the dog 1–1 · home 1–2, away 1–2 · avg gap to the market +3.0 · closer than the market 2 of 7

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.