Board · Sat, Oct 31 · 3:00 PM ET · Week 9Week 9 report
Temple
2–5 · Ours #109Our rank on the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
24–30Our projected score
East Carolina
3–4 · Ours #85Our rank on the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
Win chanceHow often each team wins the game outright when we play it out thousands of times from our line.ECU 64%
ECU 64%SpreadThe betting line right now: the middle of the sportsbooks we track, updated through the day.ECU −4oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −5.6 · openedThe DraftKings/FanDuel number captured in the hours after the week's lines opened on Sunday. −4.5
TotalThe betting line right now: the middle of the sportsbooks we track, updated through the day.51.5oursOur computer's projected combined score for both teams, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. 53.6 · opened 48.5
Our call · PassNo bet: our line and the best DraftKings or FanDuel price don't beat the bookmaker's cut on this side.ECU −4.0-108 DraftKings51% to cover · -2.2% EV
ECU −4.0-108 DraftKings51% to cover · -2.2% EVQuarterbackslast game's starter · most dropbacks in each team's last game
Ajani SheppardSenior · 6 starts this year · 1 relief appearance
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback: passes, sacks (college play-by-play logs scrambles as runs). The rank is among the 128 FBS passers with 15+ dropbacks per team game.
- +0.2823rd
- Comp %
- 61.7
- TD
- 8
- Turnovers
- 00 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 10
Took over mid-game last game
Mitch GriffisSenior · 3 starts this year · 2 relief appearances
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback: passes, sacks (college play-by-play logs scrambles as runs). The rank is among the 128 FBS passers with 15+ dropbacks per team game.
- −0.07
- Comp %
- 51.9
- TD
- 3
- Turnovers
- 33 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 5
Took over mid-game last game
The matchupeach offense against the defense it faces · FBS rank in the colored cell
| East Carolinaoffense | Offense edge · 3 of 5 | defenseTemple | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112th | −0.01 | Overall efficiencyEfficiencyExpected points added per play. FBS average: +0.08. | +0.20 | 130th |
| 125th | 37.9% | Success rateSuccessShare of plays that keep the offense on schedule. FBS average: 43.3%. | 45.5% | 118th |
| 107th | −0.01 | PassingPassingExpected points added per dropback. FBS average: +0.09. | +0.30 | 131st |
| 111th | −0.01 | RushingRushingExpected points added per run. FBS average: +0.07. | +0.11 | 108th |
| 75th | 12.4% | Big playsBig playsShare of plays gaining 20+ yards passing or 10+ rushing. FBS average: 12.7%. | 13.9% | 112th |
| Templeoffense | Defense edge · 3 of 5 | defenseEast Carolina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33rd | +0.17 | Overall efficiencyEfficiencyExpected points added per play. FBS average: +0.08. | −0.07 | 26th |
| 64th | 43.5% | Success rateSuccessShare of plays that keep the offense on schedule. FBS average: 43.3%. | 35.4% | 18th |
| 68th | +0.09 | PassingPassingExpected points added per dropback. FBS average: +0.09. | −0.03 | 37th |
| 9th | +0.23 | RushingRushingExpected points added per run. FBS average: +0.07. | −0.10 | 13th |
| 19th | 15.3% | Big playsBig playsShare of plays gaining 20+ yards passing or 10+ rushing. FBS average: 12.7%. | 12.9% | 92nd |
Team stats
| East CarolinaECU | TempleTEM | |
|---|---|---|
| Special teams & field position | ||
| Special teamsSpecial teams expected points added per game. | −1.7113th | −1.8114th |
| Field positionAverage starting field position against the opponent's, in yards. | +0.573rd | −2.7112th |
| Drives & pace | ||
| Scoring chancesShare of drives that reach the opponent's 40. | 49%83rd | 54%47th |
| Points per chancePoints scored per drive that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.02126th | 3.51103rd |
| Time of possession | 25:30124th | 27:5495th |
| Plays per game | 6668th | 58132nd |
| Turnovers & havoc | ||
| Turnover margin | −6 | 0 |
| Giveaways – takeaways | 14 – 8 | 9 – 9 |
| Havoc rateShare of defensive plays with a sack, tackle for loss, interception or forced fumble. | 17.2%16th | 9.2%137th |
Season so far
Temple2–5 · 81st-hardest schedule
Wvs Rhode Island38–14covered −14.5
L
vs Penn State9–27covered +24
vs Penn State9–27covered +24L
at Toledo48–49covered +5
at Toledo48–49covered +5L
vs Army17–21missed +3.5
vs Army17–21missed +3.5W
at South Florida17–13covered +5.5
at South Florida17–13covered +5.5L
vs UConn20–34missed −3.5
vs UConn20–34missed −3.5L
vs Charlotte31–38missed −17.5QB change mid-game
vs Charlotte31–38missed −17.5QB change mid-gameEast Carolina3–4 · 91st-hardest schedule
L
at Alabama10–48missed +28
at Alabama10–48missed +28L
vs App State24–27missed −6.5
vs App State24–27missed −6.5W
at Old Dominion20–17covered +2.5
at Old Dominion20–17covered +2.5Wvs North Carolina Central42–9missed −37.5
W
vs Rice28–12covered −10
vs Rice28–12covered −10L
at UAB17–30missed −4.5
at UAB17–30missed −4.5L
at Memphis34–41covered +10.5QB change mid-game
at Memphis34–41covered +10.5QB change mid-gameModel cfb_scratch · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Oct 31, 1:20 PM EDT · freezes at kickoff and grades as-is