Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Louisville

4–3 FBS · ACC · this season

Rating

+9.5

Rank

27

Résumé

53

Projected wins

7.2▲ 0.5 vs preseason

CFP odds

2%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sun, Sep 69/6at Ole MissMISSLOU +14.8LOU +6.5L 38–4149MISS · L

Fri, Sep 119/11VillanovaVillanovaLOU −33.5LOU −38.5W 59–1373

Sat, Sep 199/19SMUSMULOU +2.4LOU −1.5W 41–3167SMU · L

Sat, Sep 269/26Wake ForestWAKELOU −12.3LOU −13.5L 27–3043WAKE · W

Sat, Oct 310/3at NC StateNCSULOU −3.0LOU −3.5L 28–3164NCSU · W

Fri, Oct 910/9Florida StateFSULOU −3.3LOU −4.5W 44–2070FSU · L

Sat, Oct 1710/17at SyracuseSYRLOU −13.1LOU −13.5W 34–2662SYR · W

Sat, Oct 3110/31StanfordSTANLOU −21.9LOU −22.5STAN +22.5Pass

Sat, Nov 711/7at Georgia TechGTLOU −9.2—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14at North CarolinaUNCLOU −3.1—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21PittsburghPITTLOU −6.2—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28at KentuckyUKLOU +6.4—wk 13

Model on LOU games: 3–3 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 0–1 · as the dog 3–2 · home 2–1, away 1–2 · avg gap to the market +3.0 · closer than the market 2 of 6

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.