Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Air Force

6–2 FBS · Mountain West · this season

Rating

−3.0

Rank

83

Résumé

37

Projected wins

7.7▲ 2.6 vs preseason

CFP odds

<1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5DuquesneDuquesneAF −25.8AF −31.5W 34–084

Sat, Sep 129/12North Dakota StateNDSUAF +11.3AF +5.5L 32–3865NDSU · W

Sat, Sep 269/26at NevadaNEVAF +1.9AF −4.5W 36–3353NEV · W

Sat, Oct 310/3NavyNAVYAF −5.4AF −3.0W 14–946AF · W

Sat, Oct 1010/10at Northern IllinoisNIUAF −10.5AF −10.0W 28–768NIU · L

Sat, Oct 1710/17UNLVUNLVAF −2.7AF PKW 41–3159AF · W

Fri, Oct 2310/23at WyomingWYOAF −8.1AF −6.0L 14–2849AF · L

Sat, Oct 3110/31UConnCONNAF −2.1AF −3.0W 35–2650CONN · L

Sat, Nov 711/7at ArmyARMYAF +10.2AF +5.5wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14San José StateSJSUAF −11.9—wk 11

Fri, Nov 2011/20UTEPUTEPAF −20.0—wk 12

Sat, Nov 2811/28at New MexicoUNMAF +12.1—wk 13

Model on AF games: 4–3 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 2–1 · as the dog 2–2 · home 3–1, away 1–2 · avg gap to the market +4.5 · closer than the market 4 of 7

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.