Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Texas State

4–3 FBS · Pac-12 · this season

Rating

−0.4

Rank

68

Résumé

79

Projected wins

6.2▲ 0.4 vs preseason

CFP odds

<1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5at TexasTEXTXST +21.3TXST +30.5L 7–5928TXST · L

Sat, Sep 129/12UTSAUTSATXST +1.6TXST +1.0L 26–3151TXST · L

Sat, Sep 199/19North TexasUNTTXST +4.7TXST −3.0W 49–3553UNT · L

Sat, Sep 269/26Incarnate WordIncarnate WordTXST −36.8TXST −30.5W 63–1074

Sat, Oct 310/3at San Diego StateSDSUTXST −4.0TXST −4.5L 29–3158SDSU · W

Thu, Oct 1510/15Colorado StateCSUTXST −19.2TXST −13.0W 66–2755TXST · W

Sat, Oct 2410/24Utah StateUSUTXST −16.7TXST −12.0W 20–1747TXST · L

Sat, Oct 3110/31at Boise StateBOISTXST +6.5TXST +10.5TXST +10.5Lean · +0.7%

Sat, Nov 711/7at Oregon StateORSTTXST +3.8—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14Fresno StateFRESTXST −7.3—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21Washington StateWSUTXST −11.3—wk 12

Model on TXST games: 2–4 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 1–1 · as the dog 1–3 · home 2–2, away 0–2 · avg gap to the market +5.5 · closer than the market 3 of 6

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.