Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Mississippi State

4–3 FBS · SEC · this season

Rating

+5.7

Rank

41

Résumé

36

Projected wins

6.4▲ 2.5 vs preseason

CFP odds

<1%

Schedule

our line · the market · graded at the early week line

DateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call

Sat, Sep 59/5UL MonroeULMMSST −22.9MSST −28.5W 62–1391ULM · L

Sat, Sep 129/12at MinnesotaMINNMSST −3.4MSST −1.5W 38–1362MINN · L

Sat, Sep 199/19at South CarolinaSCMSST +3.5MSST +3.5W 41–3474MSST · W

Sat, Sep 269/26MissouriMIZMSST −4.5MSST −3.5W 31–2450MIZ · L

Sat, Oct 310/3AlabamaALAMSST +6.6MSST +6.0L 23–5620ALA · W

Sat, Oct 1710/17at LSULSUMSST +10.9MSST +11.5L 0–3122MSST · L

Sat, Oct 2410/24OklahomaOUMSST +3.1MSST +3.0L 15–2342OU · W

Sat, Oct 3110/31at TexasTEXMSST +13.6MSST +20.0MSST +20.5Lean · +1.2%

Sat, Nov 711/7VanderbiltVANMSST −6.3—wk 10

Sat, Nov 1411/14AuburnAUBMSST +2.1—wk 11

Sat, Nov 2111/21Tennessee TechTennessee TechMSST −40.9—wk 12

Fri, Nov 2711/27at Ole MissMISSMSST +15.8MSST +14.5wk 13

Model on MSST games: 3–4 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 2–0 · as the dog 1–4 · home 0–1, away 3–3 · avg gap to the market +2.8 · closer than the market 4 of 7

Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.