Board · Rankings · CollegeNext: at SC · Sat, Nov 7 · 3:00 PM ET →
Oct 31, 6:19 PM EDTstats the morning after a game; scores and grades the same night

Texas A&M
4–4 FBS · SEC · this season
Rating
+8.7
Rank
32
Résumé
68
Projected wins
5.8▼ 1.7 vs preseason
CFP odds
0%
Schedule
our line · the market · graded at the early week lineDateOpponentOur lineOursMarketResultPerf.Our call
Model on TA&M games: 4–3 ATS at the early week line · as the favorite 3–1 · as the dog 1–2 · home 3–1, away 1–2 · avg gap to the market +6.2 · closer than the market 4 of 7
Outlook
from 10,000 season simulationsProjected wins
5.84–4 banked, 4 to play · preseason 7.5
Bowl (6+)23%
9+ wins0%
11+ wins0%
The 4 games left add 1.8 expected wins.
Playoff picture
Reach title game0%
Win conference0%
Make the CFP0%
First-round bye0%
Win it all0%
Full bracket on the playoffs page.
Offense and defense
8 games · rank of 138 FBSrank of 138
Offense
EPA per play−0.01111th
Success rate42.1%75th
Pass EPA−0.09120th
Rush EPA+0.0771st
Explosive rate10.4%119th
Quality-drive rate51.3%68th
Points per quality drive4.724th
Defense
EPA allowed−0.0239th
Success allowed39.6%46th
Pass EPA allowed+0.0675th
Rush EPA allowed−0.0916th
Explosive allowed15.4%130th
Havoc rate12.7%96th
Special teams, luck and schedule
through the latest boardrank of 138
Special teams & luck
Special teams EPA / game+3.47th
Turnover margin+343rd · exp. −3.5
Field position margin+3.4 yd32nd
Hidden points / game+4.4banked
Luck, wins−0.44.4 earned
One-score record0–0
Rush rate over expected−0.2%54th
Overall
Rating, pts vs average+8.732nd
Schedule played+7.513th
Schedule remaining+13.03rd
Full schedule+9.56th
Pregame expected wins4.0of 8
Ranking by week
ours vs the AP pollOurs 32nd · +8.7AP NRWeek 9
Where they sit · offense vs defensepinch or ⌘/ctrl + scroll to zoom · drag to move · double-tap to reset
Texas A&Moff −0.01 111thdef −0.02 allowed · 39th
Every FBS team, through the latest board. EPA is garbage-time filtered. Tap a logo for its numbers.
Texas A&Moff −0.01 111thdef −0.02 allowed · 39th
Records and stats cover FBS-vs-FBS games only — the games the model grades. Rate stats exclude garbage time (a lead of 38+ in the first half, 28+ in the third quarter, 22+ in the fourth); turnovers are counted whole. Hover a row for its definition.



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