Board · Sat, Nov 7 · time TBD · Week 10Week 10 report
West Virginia
5–3 · Ours #72Our rank on the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
22–37Our projected score
AP #13Texas Tech
7–1 · Ours #20Our rank on the rankings page. The board's line comes from the betting model, which sees more than this one number.
Win chanceHow often each team wins the game outright when we play it out thousands of times from our line.TTU 81%
TTU 81%SpreadThe betting line right now: the middle of the sportsbooks we track, updated through the day.—oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. TTU −14.7
TotalThe betting line right now: the middle of the sportsbooks we track, updated through the day.—oursOur computer's projected combined score for both teams, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. 58.8
Our call · No priceNeither DraftKings nor FanDuel is offering our side at our number right now, so there is no price to judge.—
Quarterbackslast game's starter · most dropbacks in each team's last game
West Virginia
No passer on record this season
Will HammondSophomore · 7 starts this year
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback: passes, sacks (college play-by-play logs scrambles as runs). The rank is among the 128 FBS passers with 15+ dropbacks per team game.
- +0.1164th
- Comp %
- 67.8
- TD
- 6
- Turnovers
- 66 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 9
The matchupeach offense against the defense it faces · FBS rank in the colored cell
| Texas Techoffense | Offense edge · 5 of 5 | defenseWest Virginia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93rd | +0.04 | Overall efficiencyEfficiencyExpected points added per play. FBS average: +0.08. | +0.23 | 130th |
| 35th | 47.0% | Success rateSuccessShare of plays that keep the offense on schedule. FBS average: 43.3%. | 47.2% | 128th |
| 79th | +0.04 | PassingPassingExpected points added per dropback. FBS average: +0.09. | +0.35 | 136th |
| 95th | +0.03 | RushingRushingExpected points added per run. FBS average: +0.07. | +0.10 | 102nd |
| 47th | 13.7% | Big playsBig playsShare of plays gaining 20+ yards passing or 10+ rushing. FBS average: 12.7%. | 15.7% | 131st |
| West Virginiaoffense | Defense edge · 3 of 5 | defenseTexas Tech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21st | +0.20 | Overall efficiencyEfficiencyExpected points added per play. FBS average: +0.08. | −0.08 | 18th |
| 70th | 42.8% | Success rateSuccessShare of plays that keep the offense on schedule. FBS average: 43.3%. | 38.9% | 37th |
| 38th | +0.20 | PassingPassingExpected points added per dropback. FBS average: +0.09. | −0.09 | 24th |
| 17th | +0.19 | RushingRushingExpected points added per run. FBS average: +0.07. | −0.07 | 25th |
| 34th | 14.1% | Big playsBig playsShare of plays gaining 20+ yards passing or 10+ rushing. FBS average: 12.7%. | 12.8% | 91st |
Team stats
| Texas TechTTU | West VirginiaWVU | |
|---|---|---|
| Special teams & field position | ||
| Special teamsSpecial teams expected points added per game. | +2.814th | +2.617th |
| Field positionAverage starting field position against the opponent's, in yards. | +4.224th | +1.456th |
| Drives & pace | ||
| Scoring chancesShare of drives that reach the opponent's 40. | 59%18th | 51%73rd |
| Points per chancePoints scored per drive that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.1165th | 4.8018th |
| Time of possession | 28:1290th | 27:4299th |
| Plays per game | 6755th | 746th |
| Turnovers & havoc | ||
| Turnover margin | +6 | +7 |
| Giveaways – takeaways | 14 – 20 | 7 – 14 |
| Havoc rateShare of defensive plays with a sack, tackle for loss, interception or forced fumble. | 15.9%32nd | 12.8%95th |
Season so far
West Virginia5–3 · 43rd-hardest schedule
W
vs Coastal Carolina31–24missed −21
vs Coastal Carolina31–24missed −21Wvs UT Martin52–7covered −41.5
W
at Virginia38–27covered +10.5
at Virginia38–27covered +10.5L
vs Oklahoma State24–41missed −2
vs Oklahoma State24–41missed −2L
at Iowa State42–45push +3
at Iowa State42–45push +3L
vs Arizona31–52missed +3.5
vs Arizona31–52missed +3.5W
vs Cincinnati45–42covered −1.5
vs Cincinnati45–42covered −1.5W
at TCU24–20covered +11
at TCU24–20covered +11Texas Tech7–1 · 61st-hardest schedule
Wvs Abilene Christian33–10missed −44.5
W
at Oregon State35–24missed −25.5
at Oregon State35–24missed −25.5W
vs Houston28–26missed −7.5
vs Houston28–26missed −7.5W
vs Sam Houston49–14covered −34.5
vs Sam Houston49–14covered −34.5W
at Colorado29–7covered −13.5
at Colorado29–7covered −13.5W
vs Arizona State53–25covered −16.5
vs Arizona State53–25covered −16.5Lat Cincinnati24–37missed −11.5
at Cincinnati24–37missed −11.5Wvs Arizona34–26covered −3.5
vs Arizona34–26covered −3.5Model cfb_scratch · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Oct 31, 6:20 PM EDT · freezes at kickoff and grades as-is