Week 1 report · Sat, Sep 5 · 2026 Week 1FCS opponent · display only
SpreadOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.SAC −38.5oursOur computer's point spread for this game, built from team stats, not from the betting odds. Read it like a betting line: −7 means we have that team winning by 7. −27.3 · SAC covered by 13.5
TotalOur last pregame odds pull, usually inside the hour before kickoff. A median of the books we track, not a sharp close.—
FCS opponent · display onlyFCS opponents are modeled by tier. No pick, no probability, never graded.
Quarterbacksthis game
Mississippi Valley State
No passer line for this game
Jackson Sharman18/28 · 247 yards
- EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback (passes and sacks) in this game. The percentile is among every 2026 FBS quarterback game with 10+ dropbacks.
- +0.2869th pct
- Comp %
- 64.3
- TD
- 4
- Turnovers
- 11 INT · 0 fum
- Sacked
- 0
No 2026 stats for Mississippi Valley State (FCS), so the matchup and team-stat tables are left off.
Season so far
Mississippi Valley State0–1
Lat Sacramento State0–52missed +38.5
at Sacramento State0–52missed +38.5Sacramento State2–7 · 131st-hardest schedule
L
at Eastern Michigan17–28missed +9
at Eastern Michigan17–28missed +9Wvs Mississippi Valley State52–0covered −38.5
L
at Fresno State3–49missed +17.5
at Fresno State3–49missed +17.5L
vs North Dakota State10–31covered +25
vs North Dakota State10–31covered +25L
vs Massachusetts6–35missed +5
vs Massachusetts6–35missed +5L
at Bowling Green10–38missed +9
at Bowling Green10–38missed +9L
vs Ohio7–48missed +17
vs Ohio7–48missed +17L
at Ball State17–34missed +14.5
at Ball State17–34missed +14.5W
vs Kent State31–10covered +7
vs Kent State31–10covered +7Model cfb_best · uncertainty ±15.5 · run Sep 5, 8:05 PM EDT · froze at kickoff and graded as-is